Europe's blue chip companies are set to wipe billions of dollars from
their balance sheets this year, writing down the value of assets
acquired over recent years as the economic slowdown makes cash-flow
forecasts look increasingly optimistic.
The write-downs will
serve as a report card on executives' records in making shrewd
acquisitions and are important because they will reduce company earnings
by a corresponding amount and potentially diminish shareholder returns.
The charges will also indicate how pessimistic executives are
about the current business outlook in Europe and influence how investors
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Write-downs
are likely because Europe's biggest 600 companies by market value
bought more than €1.6 trillion ($2.15 trillion) worth of new businesses
between 2007 and today, according to data compiled by investment bank
Houlihan Lokey, a unit of Japanese financial-services group Orix Corp.
Europe's
sputtering economy makes it more difficult for companies to justify the
amount of goodwill on their balance sheet when it is probably greater
than the value of the assets today.
Goodwill is an intangible
asset created when companies capitalize the premium they pay in
acquisitions. When acquisitions don't pan out, companies have to
recognize the difference by writing down the value of the goodwill. They
are often slow to do so, partly because valuing assets accurately is
difficult.
The European Securities and Markets Authority,
Europe's umbrella body for securities regulators, said on Jan.Here's a
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for the beginning oil painter. 21 that it wants companies to tighten up
how they justify the goodwill on their balance sheets to give investors
a fairer picture of the health of their businesses. ESMA believes
around half of Europe's biggest listed companies are trading below their
book value.
According to ESMA, there was €800 billion of
goodwill on the books of Europe's largest 235 companies in 2011, up from
€790 billion the year before. But the body calculates only 5%, or about
€40 billion, of that was written off when companies published their
2011 accounts despite stock markets trading well below boom-era levels
as Europe's economic outlook as worsened. Those trends have continued,
suggesting there is an even bigger discrepancy between the value of
goodwill on companies' books and the real value of the assets.
"It's
not our job to tell companies how much of an impairment charge they
should take but if you look at the figures, the fact that only 5% of
goodwill recognized at the end of 2010 was impaired in such difficult
economic conditions raises the question: is this sufficient?" said
Steven Maijoor, the chairman of ESMA. "We know from past financial
crises that there is a tendency by management to be slow in recognizing
goodwill impairment."
Mr. Maijoor cites the examples of U.S. and
European banks in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis and
Japan's banks after the bursting of the 1990s property bubble.
"In
general, when it comes to assessing the value of assets from past
mergers, it's more a question that management is too ambitious…than
capital markets are too conservative,The 3rd International Conference on
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The
bank—although not giving an actual forecast—said it expects impairments
of goodwill related to 2012 results to exceed the €76.44 billion
written down by constituents of the Stoxx Europe 600 index as part of
2011 results. The 2011 figure was up on a collective €13.65 billion
write-down taken in 2010 results.
As well as hitting financial results, such impairments could put the spotlight on executives responsible for the acquisitions.
"Goodwill
impairment is a noncash charge," said Romil Radia, a partner in the
valuation practice at accountancy firm PricewaterhouseCoopers in London.
"But somebody did actually write a check at some point in time," Mr.
Radia said.
On Jan. 17 mining company Rio Tinto PLC announced a
$14-billion write-down related to two acquisitions, with Chairman Jan du
Plessis describing the charge on a relatively recent acquisition as
"unacceptable."
Houlilhan Lokey's analysis shows that while much
of the asset impairments in recent years have focused on the financial
services sector—because of the 2008 financial crisis and then the
euro-zone sovereign debt crisis—and telecommunications—because operators
overpaid for new licenses and smaller companies in the last
decade—Europe's economic slowdown has spread to the broader economy.
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. it believes more than a quarter of companies in the automotive,
metals, hotel, and real-estate sectors have assets with a book value
significantly exceeding their market value.
ESMA notes that the
2011 impairment rate in the industrial goods and services sector at the
companies it studied was 1.4%, equivalent to €1.54 billion in goodwill
written off a total of €112.55 billion recognized at the end of 2010,
compared with 25% in the financial-services sector, or €19.12 billion
out of a total of €76.08 billion.
To be sure, companies can
ignore market valuations in assessing the goodwill on their balance
sheets by arguing that the market is undervaluing the real value of the
assets.
But with Europe's economic prospects deteriorating, that
could prove more of a stretch. A tough trading environment in Spain,
with little prospect of a recovery soon, led Imperial Tobacco to write
down the value of its business there by 1.2 billion ($1.9 billion) in
October, four years after its 2008 acquisition of Franco-Spanish rival
Altadis for €12.8 billion.
With companies working typically on
three-year business plans, few managers are likely to have forecast back
in late 2009 that, after a rapid rebound from the financial crisis,We
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again in slow growth, with a double-dip recession in some countries,
said Houlihan Lokey's Mr. Hayn.
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