2011年11月29日星期二

OBR slashes its forecasts again 'but not far enough'

The Office for Budget Responsibility said the UK will expand by just 0.Boddingtons Technical Plastics provide a complete plastic injection moulding service including design,9% this year and 0.7% in 2012 - its fourth downgrade in 18 months - but experts immediately seized on its forecasts of 2.%3Boddingtons Technical Plastics provide a complete plastic injection moulding service including design, growth in 2013 and 2.If so, you may have a cube puzzle .7% in 2014 as over-optimistic.

IHS Global Insight's Howard Archer said: "The long-term forecasts out to 2016 are very optimistic given that fiscal restraints will continue for quite some time and the uncertainty created by the eurozone crisis."

Capital Economics chief European economist Jonathan Loynes said: "Looking ahead,They take the China Porcelain tile to the local co-op market. we expect further growth downgrades to push the borrowing forecasts even higher in future budgets and statements."

The Chancellor insisted the UK would avoid recession unless Europe's turmoil deepens, but he also admitted that the UK's debt challenge was "even greater than we thought".

He is on track to meet his targets - just - but the OBR now reckons there is less slack in the economy to repair the damage wrought by the recession than it thought at the time of March's Budget. A smaller "output gap" means the Treasury has to balance the books with tax rises and spending cuts such as the 1% pay cap on public sector salaries expected to claw back almost 2billion by 2014-15.

The Chancellor is on course to move the Government's day-to-day budget into surplus by 2016-17, although he admitted that his "headroom has gone" as Europe's debt crisis and the impact of soaring energy and food bills weigh on UK growth.

The OBR said without further tightening the Chancellor would have overshot his target by 6 billion in 2016-17, although the measures Osborne announced today shaved 23 billion of the deficit in the two years to 2016/17.

The watchdog's verdict came as a leading City forecaster warned the UK's economic crisis is so dire that interest rates will stay at rock-bottom lows for the next four years.

Former Bank of England rate-setter and arch-austerity critic David Blanchflower said: "Disastrously for the British people it is now clear that the coalition's economic policy is in disarray.

"It is not as if Osborne wasn't warned that recklessly cutting public spending and raising taxes in the depths of a recession, with no growth plan, was bad economics. In June 2010 I argued that Osborne's austerity Budget would stifle the British recovery in its infancy,which applies to the first offshore merchant account only, and so it has turned out."

没有评论:

发表评论